Team A cannot win by blow out against team B.
Back team B pre-game.
If team B looks like highly probable victory (lead by 6+) at half time HOLD. If not CLOSE position.
If team B looks like highly probable victory at 3 quarter time HOLD. If not CLOSE position.
4th Quarter reassess at every time out and stop loss at 0 or -1 * (max profit) if high average odds.
More flexible to uncertain outcomes at high average odds positions.
Can increase stake once in case of 1st quarter Type 2 deficit.
Notes: The key here is that making money is not about making correct picks, it is about not losing money
when you make incorrect picks. By betting against defensive minded teams (teams that usually win in
close, low scoring games) you ensure that if the team you bet on is not playing well, you can trade out at
half time without incurring a big loss. The logic is that odds will be volatile in your favour, but involatile
against you.